If Bush can get Florida and Iowa, he wins
OK, I might as well pontificate with my election prediction. This is based on gut instinct and playing with the electoral map at 270towin.com
Bush: 236
Kerry: 221
Undecided (Iowa, Wisconson, Michigan, Ohio and Florida) 81
Swing states I'm calling:
NV: Bush
CO: Bush
NM: Bush
NH: Bush
MN: Kerry
PA: Kerry
OK, some scenarios:
If Bush wins FL and one other state he wins
If Kerry wins FL, he needs Michigan or Ohio
If Bush wins OH and Kerry wins FL, Bush needs MI to win.
If Kerry wins MI and OH, Bush still wins if he gets Florida and Iowa
We'll (hopefully) know sometime tonight...